TL;DR

Mark Dow (Behavioral Macro) explains the real story behind the dollar’s recent weakness, the misunderstood rise in gold, and how Bitcoin might be evolving from just a trading vehicle to a legit alternative asset — despite its flaws.

Key Takeaways

  • The dollar’s recent drop is more about crowded positioning unwinding — not the “death of the dollar.”
  • A slow secular shift away from the dollar is happening, but it’s gradual due to the lack of real alternatives.
  • Gold’s rally is fueled by fear of dollar weaponization (sanctions), not inflation or deficit concerns.
  • Bitcoin is benefiting from anti-dollar sentiment and growing institutional acceptance, despite its technical flaws.
  • Expect a “T-bill and chill” environment: lower growth, traders focusing on short-term tactical trades.

Quotes

  • “The fear of dollar weaponization is real… and it started with Russia sanctions.”
  • “Bitcoin is great to trade, because it’s all emotion, no fundamentals.”
  • “The Fed isn’t political. It’s religious about its mandate — and that’s the secret sauce.”

Who’s It For

Perfect if you want a deep macro read on what’s actually happening beneath all the dollar, gold, and Bitcoin headlines.


Podcast: Traders Summit
Host: Blake Morrow
Guest: Mark Dow
Length: 42 min
🎧 Listen to the full episode (YouTube)